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The Penn-Wharton model found in a preliminary analysis that AI could reduce deficits by $400 billion by 2035. But the Congressional Budget Office framed AI and associated investment as wild cards in determining the U.S. fiscal and economic outlook. While the CBO projects AI will enhance total productivity by 1% in the next decade, its most recent budget report conceded that this prediction was “highly uncertain.” If adoption is slow or costs higher than anticipated, it would significantly alter GDP growth and, consequently, government revenue.
2. 2025年宏观经济回顾与2026年宏观政策展望 - 中国社会科学院工业经济研究所, gjs.cssn.cn/xwzx/202601…，更多细节参见快连下载安装
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